Under the Northern Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (6 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
987 | 1087 | 36% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
941 | 1071 | 32% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
1076 | 1034 | 56% | 2020-07-30 | Won |
952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
904 | 904 | 50% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 978.8 vs 1010.2 has a 45.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).