Under the Northern Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (6 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 1050 | 33% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 928 | 891 | 55% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1064 | 1038 | 54% | 2020-07-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 975 | 1183 | 23% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 976.2 vs 1032 has a 42.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).