Under the Northern Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (7 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 969 | 41% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1095 | 49% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 998 | 1057 | 42% | 2020-07-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1241 | 26% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1140 | 34% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1002.4 vs 1059.7 has a 41.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).