Red Comrades
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1159 | 23% | 2026-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2026-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 999 | 50% | 2021-04-12 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-03-28 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2018-01-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2016-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 846 | 75% | 2016-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2015-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-08-28 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-08-29 | | Won |
| 918 | 1101 | 26% | 2012-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1078 | 60% | 2011-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 957 | 74% | 2010-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2009-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1069 | 60% | 2009-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1092 | 45% | 2009-10-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2009-04-14 | | Won |
| 1184 | 1022 | 72% | 2009-03-15 | | Won |
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2009-03-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1041 vs 1022.2 has a 52.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).