Red Comrades
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1123 | 27% | 2026-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2026-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2021-04-12 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-03-28 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2018-01-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2016-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 846 | 77% | 2016-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2015-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-08-28 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-08-29 | | Won |
| 918 | 1101 | 26% | 2012-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1078 | 60% | 2011-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2010-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2009-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1045 | 65% | 2009-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1092 | 45% | 2009-10-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2009-04-14 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1060 | 68% | 2009-03-15 | | Won |
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2009-03-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1024.6 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).