Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 924 | 70% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 820 | 1057 | 20% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1153 | 27% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1069 | 61% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1033 | 50% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 972 | 920 | 57% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1121 | 1097 | 53% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 1034 | 855 | 74% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 1211 | 29% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1117 | 53% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1107 | 1137 | 46% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1096.2 vs 1053.7 has a 56.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).