Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 834 | 1205 | 11% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1059 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 908 | 81% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 865 | 88% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 976 | 1023 | 43% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 908 | 81% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1068 | 61% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 865 | 1033 | 28% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1066 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 923 | 920 | 50% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1111 | 1024 | 62% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 988 | 924 | 59% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1047 | 1302 | 19% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 938 | 72% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1136 | 1075 | 59% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1136 | 51% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 983 | 72% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 1134 | 34% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1080 vs 1046.9 has a 54.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).