Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 884 | 75% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 820 | 1151 | 13% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 1119 | 64% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1141 | 29% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1069 | 62% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 1119 | 1034 | 62% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 920 | 68% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1121 | 1033 | 62% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 993 | 843 | 70% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 1215 | 28% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1121 | 1090 | 54% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1121 | 55% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1169 | 1075 | 63% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 1137 | 43% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1099.8 vs 1057 has a 56.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).