Something to Prove
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27
Defender wins (Yugoslavian (NOVJ)): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2024-01-21 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1022 | 49% | 2016-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2015-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1163 | 46% | 2011-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-06-27 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2009-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2009-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1128 | 32% | 2009-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2009-04-13 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1226 | 24% | 2009-03-15 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1099 | 66% | 2008-10-07 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1061.6 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).