Something to Prove
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27
Defender wins (Yugoslavian (NOVJ)): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-01-21 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1023 | 54% | 2016-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2015-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1202 | 39% | 2011-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-06-27 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1029 | 65% | 2009-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2009-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1128 | 32% | 2009-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-04-13 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1191 | 32% | 2009-03-15 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1069 | 68% | 2008-10-07 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1057.9 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).