Traverse Right ... Fire!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1096 | 40% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1096 | 40% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 954 | 860 | 63% | 2019-03-02 | Tied |
| 1035 | 1195 | 28% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1157 | 51% | 2018-01-18 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1203 | 926 | 83% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 996 | 1051 | 42% | 2013-10-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1093 | 42% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1090 | 60% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 913 | 987 | 40% | 2011-02-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 963 | 908 | 58% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 968 | 1040 | 40% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1037.5 has a 48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).