Sowchos 79
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (13 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2019-11-21 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2014-08-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2013-10-19 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2011-07-27 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-06-24 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-11-20 | | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1128 | 1037 | 63% | 2010-04-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.3 vs 1043 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).