Sowchos 79
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1108 | 69% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 929 | 79% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 987 | 44% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 987 | 1033 | 43% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1145 | 1094 | 57% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 994 | 959 | 55% | 2011-07-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 1111 | 1133 | 47% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1116 | 56% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1060 has a 52.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).