Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1014 | 47% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1142 | 1133 | 51% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 986 | 56% | 2013-05-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1040.5 vs 1070 has a 45.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).