Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1041 | 46% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1142 | 1122 | 53% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 1017 | 51% | 2013-05-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1087.5 has a 43.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).