Prelim to Death Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (11 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 26
Defender wins (American): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
919 | 945 | 46% | 2021-10-11 | Lost |
1307 | 1058 | 81% | 2021-10-02 | Won |
948 | 1198 | 19% | 2021-08-01 | Lost |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
1128 | 1062 | 59% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2020-01-29 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2019-11-13 | Won |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2019-11-12 | Lost |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2012-11-04 | Won |
1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1032.3 has a 56.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).