Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Swedish): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1061 | 43% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1228 | 24% | 2021-04-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1082 | 28% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1141 | 37% | 2012-09-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1094 | 48% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1009.9 vs 1099.1 has a 37.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).