Twilight at Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (3 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 1280 | 11% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1082 | 42% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1003 | 924 | 61% | 2018-02-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 984.7 vs 1095.3 has a 34.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).