Carstens' Lament
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (3 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1400 | 973 | 92% | 2022-12-27 | Won |
| 967 | 1153 | 26% | 2018-05-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 1197 | 22% | 2009-10-28 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1116.3 vs 1107.7 has a 51.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).