Carstens' Lament
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (4 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2026-04-18 | Lost |
| 1430 | 974 | 93% | 2022-12-27 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2018-05-02 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1178 | 35% | 2009-10-28 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1110 vs 1099 has a 51.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).