Tisza Tease
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (17 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 916 | 59% | 2025-07-04 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1039 | 63% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-03-31 | Won |
| 1142 | 1134 | 51% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1142 | 32% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 937 | 960 | 47% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 898 | 1254 | 11% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1193 | 1000 | 75% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 1177 | 28% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
| 1145 | 1006 | 69% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 998 | 1014 | 48% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1131 | 53% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1188 | 45% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1106 | 1218 | 34% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1117 | 47% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 1145 | 998 | 70% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 1039 | 1049 | 49% | 2003-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1081.9 has a 48.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).