Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (18 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2025-03-13 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1098 | 43% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1143 | 68% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1052 | 57% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1220 | 948 | 83% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1098 | 41% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 990 | 1040 | 43% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1209 | 36% | 2010-04-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 1044 | 47% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1156 | 29% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1020 | 851 | 73% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 990 | 1152 | 28% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1050.9 vs 1081.5 has a 45.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).