Out of the Shadows
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (7 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2021-08-18 | | Tied |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2019-08-20 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2019-08-20 | | Won |
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2016-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2010-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1031 | 72% | 2009-10-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 1115 has a 35.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).