Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (18 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 50
Defender wins (German (SS)): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
1022 | 1083 | 41% | 2023-10-30 | Lost |
1035 | 1012 | 53% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
1104 | 1179 | 39% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
1317 | 1172 | 70% | 2022-02-19 | Tied |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
1058 | 1144 | 38% | 2018-01-07 | Lost |
980 | 1050 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
961 | 959 | 50% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
1068 | 1143 | 39% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
1225 | 1044 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
964 | 1095 | 32% | 2012-01-09 | Lost |
1059 | 1062 | 50% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
1019 | 994 | 54% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
1169 | 1300 | 32% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
916 | 1119 | 24% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
916 | 916 | 50% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.8 vs 1085.9 has a 46.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).