Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (20 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 52
Defender wins (German (SS)): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1161 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1024 | 50% | 2023-10-30 | Lost |
| 1205 | 984 | 78% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1048 | 46% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1195 | 1190 | 51% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1310 | 1158 | 71% | 2022-02-19 | Tied |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2018-01-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1023 | 52% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 947 | 966 | 47% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1154 | 38% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1085 | 44% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 1223 | 1044 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1136 | 30% | 2012-01-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1020 | 56% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 945 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1169 | 1302 | 32% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
| 1149 | 1131 | 53% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 1149 | 983 | 72% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1084.5 vs 1084.8 has a 49.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).