Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (22 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 52
Defender wins (German (SS)): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1133 | 1153 | 47% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
1021 | 1014 | 51% | 2023-10-30 | Lost |
1223 | 984 | 80% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
1017 | 1069 | 43% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
1219 | 1210 | 51% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
1282 | 1141 | 69% | 2022-02-19 | Tied |
951 | 1116 | 28% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2018-01-07 | Lost |
982 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
938 | 966 | 46% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
1066 | 1154 | 38% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
1043 | 1085 | 44% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
1223 | 1044 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
986 | 1147 | 28% | 2012-01-09 | Lost |
1059 | 1010 | 57% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
1018 | 945 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
1169 | 1316 | 30% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
1158 | 1131 | 54% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1089.3 vs 1091.5 has a 49.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).