Ride of the 200th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 11
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 890 | 67% | 2021-07-25 | Won |
| 1227 | 1306 | 39% | 2021-05-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1143 | 33% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 953 | 1080 | 32% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1183 | 1083 | 64% | 2011-04-13 | Won |
| 1160 | 1170 | 49% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1110 | 1005 | 65% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1124.9 vs 1117.9 has a 51.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).