Ride of the 200th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 11
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2021-07-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1307 | 39% | 2021-05-14 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1143 | 36% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1081 | 32% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1120 | 1101 | 53% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1200 | 1083 | 66% | 2011-04-13 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1109 | 1073 | 55% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1129.8 vs 1127.1 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).