Ride of the 200th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Chinese): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2021-07-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1315 | 14% | 2021-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1142 | 35% | 2018-06-10 | | Won |
| 953 | 1046 | 37% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-05-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1121 | 33% | 2012-04-12 | | Won |
| 1189 | 1000 | 75% | 2011-04-13 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2010-10-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2010-03-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1094.7 has a 42.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).