ASL Scenario Archive

Melee Near the Coast

Games with no balance used/recorded: 37

Attacker wins (Japanese): 17

Defender wins (Chinese): 19

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (Japanese): 1

Defender wins (Chinese): 0

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
946	995	43%	2024-08-24	Won
880	1109	21%	2024-04-22	Lost
950	944	51%	2024-01-30	Lost
1022	1061	44%	2023-12-29	Won
1126	1130	49%	2023-07-02	Won
944	919	54%	2022-11-11	Lost
1099	1103	49%	2022-10-04	Won
1062	1140	39%	2022-06-08	Lost
1046	1060	48%	2022-05-08	Won
1055	958	64%	2022-02-18	Won
1011	945	59%	2021-02-09	Won
909	1018	35%	2020-09-07	Won
1099	986	66%	2019-10-13	Lost
1071	946	67%	2017-08-21	Lost
944	1246	15%	2017-07-28	Lost
1165	1059	65%	2017-07-28	Won
1190	944	80%	2017-05-29	Lost
1031	697	87%	2016-09-24	Won
932	1205	17%	2016-07-23	Won
932	1205	17%	2016-03-11	Lost
1003	1138	31%	2015-01-24	Lost
925	1030	35%	2015-01-23	Won
1311	1023	84%	2014-12-10	Lost
1087	1042	56%	2014-07-25	Lost
1125	1093	55%	2013-06-08	Won
1111	1058	58%	2013-05-24	Lost
1067	1004	59%	2013-03-26	Lost
1057	973	62%	2012-03-05	Won
1000	1114	34%	2012-02-23	Lost
944	1165	22%	2011-09-03	Won
1139	1116	53%	2011-08-31	Lost
1181	985	76%	2011-07-11	Won
1058	1046	52%	2011-01-22	Lost
1087	950	69%	2010-12-04	Lost
1087	1095	49%	2010-09-18	Won
1055	1030	54%	2010-06-01	Won

Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1042.6 has a 50.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).