Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 186 (43 on the archive and 143 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 89
Defender wins (Chinese): 96
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1044 | 48% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 898 | 1181 | 16% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
| 933 | 998 | 41% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1112 | 1083 | 54% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 998 | 894 | 65% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1117 | 60% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 1025 | 1127 | 36% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
| 1102 | 932 | 73% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
| 1007 | 945 | 59% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 909 | 1006 | 36% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
| 1078 | 985 | 63% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
| 964 | 1244 | 17% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1020 | 70% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1268 | 964 | 85% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1115 | 37% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1050 | 61% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 944 | 1034 | 37% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1329 | 1055 | 83% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1044 | 44% | 2014-12-04 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1042 | 51% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
| 1110 | 1036 | 60% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1008 | 58% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
| 1044 | 964 | 61% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1057 | 972 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1106 | 35% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 964 | 990 | 46% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
| 1163 | 1122 | 56% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2011-01-25 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1043 | 49% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 950 | 64% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1052 | 935 | 66% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
| 1066 | 1034 | 55% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1036.7 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).