Wannan Incident
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (2 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 13
Defender wins (Red Chinese): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1157 | 30% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2011-04-11 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1004.5 vs 1157.5 has a 29.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).