Claws of the Sparrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (Australian/Dutch): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1041 | 47% | 2026-04-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2025-11-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 898 | 64% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1078 | 889 | 75% | 2021-05-28 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1041 | 55% | 2021-05-28 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1112 | 68% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1003.7 has a 59.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).