Police Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (4 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 14
Defender wins (Indonesian (IRA)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2025-08-31 | | Won |
| 728 | 1120 | 9% | 2010-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2010-02-25 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 971.5 vs 1043.8 has a 39.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).