Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Republican): 10
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
| 967 | 1065 | 36% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1187 | 1141 | 57% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 939 | 1220 | 17% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1183 | 38% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1049 | 54% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1152 | 1089 | 59% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1024 | 1256 | 21% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1094 | 52% | 2017-09-06 | Won |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-06-26 | Won |
| 1256 | 1119 | 69% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
| 927 | 980 | 42% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 927 | 1017 | 37% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 965 | 1123 | 29% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1035 | 992 | 56% | 2013-05-23 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1065 | 54% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1090.9 has a 45.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).