Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (20 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Republican): 42
Defender wins (Nationalist): 32
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 957 | 68% | 2023-07-21 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2022-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-11-27 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2022-11-11 | | Won |
| 962 | 1133 | 27% | 2022-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2022-03-19 | | Won |
| 938 | 1218 | 17% | 2021-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1134 | 45% | 2020-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-03-09 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-10-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1298 | 26% | 2018-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-09-06 | | Won |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-06-26 | | Won |
| 1298 | 1000 | 85% | 2017-03-17 | | Lost |
| 904 | 961 | 42% | 2016-03-07 | | Won |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2015-12-08 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1185 | 22% | 2013-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2010-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2010-03-08 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1056.8 has a 49.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).