Schloss Hemingstein
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (26 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 892 | 873 | 53% | 2024-04-18 | Won |
| 994 | 1188 | 25% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1149 | 31% | 2023-09-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1117 | 65% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1117 | 65% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1172 | 1117 | 58% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 1104 | 49% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 847 | 898 | 43% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1219 | 42% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1219 | 50% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1034 | 66% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 1026 | 55% | 2014-07-28 | Won |
| 1310 | 1259 | 57% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 889 | 1053 | 28% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1126 | 47% | 2013-11-14 | Won |
| 977 | 1073 | 37% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1157 | 44% | 2013-03-21 | Lost |
| 921 | 1066 | 30% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 998 | 899 | 64% | 2011-12-10 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1026 | 72% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 932 | 1157 | 21% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 1076 | 41% | 2010-09-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1188 | 25% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1095 | 50% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 1095 | 50% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1067.2 vs 1091.8 has a 46.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).