Schloss Hemingstein
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (26 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 892 | 873 | 53% | 2024-04-18 | Won |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 1151 | 30% | 2023-09-12 | Won |
| 1254 | 1135 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1254 | 1135 | 66% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1176 | 1135 | 56% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 890 | 898 | 49% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1219 | 47% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 947 | 1032 | 38% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2014-07-28 | Won |
| 1329 | 1260 | 60% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1048 | 29% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1125 | 58% | 2013-11-14 | Won |
| 976 | 1052 | 39% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1122 | 1163 | 44% | 2013-03-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 1067 | 30% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2011-12-10 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1067 | 65% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 934 | 1163 | 21% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2010-09-02 | Lost |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1098.2 has a 45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).