Schloss Hemingstein
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (26 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
848 | 848 | 50% | 2024-04-18 | Won |
976 | 1210 | 21% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
1008 | 1149 | 31% | 2023-09-12 | Won |
1228 | 1116 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
1228 | 1116 | 66% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
872 | 898 | 46% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
1223 | 1219 | 51% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
1032 | 1033 | 50% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2014-07-28 | Won |
1316 | 1259 | 58% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
889 | 1053 | 28% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
1100 | 1125 | 46% | 2013-11-14 | Won |
976 | 1061 | 38% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
1117 | 1137 | 47% | 2013-03-21 | Lost |
921 | 1066 | 30% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
966 | 899 | 60% | 2011-12-10 | Lost |
1210 | 998 | 77% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
931 | 1137 | 23% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2010-09-02 | Lost |
976 | 1210 | 21% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1090.4 has a 45.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).