Schloss Hemingstein
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (30 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 60
Defender wins (German (SS)): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2025-11-03 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1225 | 29% | 2024-05-17 | Won |
| 890 | 895 | 49% | 2024-04-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1089 | 1097 | 49% | 2023-09-12 | Won |
| 1276 | 1135 | 69% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1276 | 1135 | 69% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1084 | 1127 | 44% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 940 | 898 | 56% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1217 | 44% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1217 | 35% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 945 | 1033 | 38% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
| 1129 | 1039 | 63% | 2014-07-28 | Won |
| 1231 | 1263 | 45% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1089 | 24% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1126 | 59% | 2013-11-14 | Won |
| 987 | 945 | 56% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2013-03-21 | Lost |
| 924 | 1071 | 30% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 959 | 1013 | 42% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 893 | 1102 | 23% | 2011-12-10 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1065 | 72% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1070 | 994 | 61% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 934 | 1117 | 26% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1015 | 952 | 59% | 2010-09-02 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1069.1 vs 1088.1 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).