Schloss Hemingstein
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (23 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
837 | 872 | 45% | 2024-04-18 | Won |
985 | 1181 | 24% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
954 | 1147 | 25% | 2023-09-12 | Won |
1046 | 1138 | 37% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
907 | 925 | 47% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
1099 | 1216 | 34% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
1196 | 1216 | 47% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
1011 | 1036 | 46% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
1022 | 1034 | 48% | 2014-07-28 | Won |
1311 | 1259 | 57% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
889 | 1043 | 29% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
1100 | 1125 | 46% | 2013-11-14 | Won |
976 | 1087 | 35% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
1116 | 1139 | 47% | 2013-03-21 | Lost |
919 | 1067 | 30% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
944 | 898 | 57% | 2011-12-10 | Lost |
1181 | 998 | 74% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
931 | 1139 | 23% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
1011 | 1101 | 37% | 2010-09-02 | Lost |
985 | 1181 | 24% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1087.4 has a 41.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).