Far From Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 176 (48 on the archive and 128 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 88
Defender wins (Republican): 88
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1197 | 1020 | 73% | 2026-06-30 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1142 | 37% | 2026-06-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 2026-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 919 | 61% | 2026-05-20 | | Won |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2025-10-17 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-09-05 | | Won |
| 780 | 1172 | 9% | 2023-03-05 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-11-02 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-07-27 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1172 | 39% | 2022-07-11 | | Won |
| 1229 | 1020 | 77% | 2022-05-12 | | Won |
| 1218 | 938 | 83% | 2021-05-15 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-12-28 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-11-17 | | Won |
| 907 | 1134 | 21% | 2020-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2020-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2020-01-21 | | Won |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-01-18 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2019-07-16 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2019-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-01-19 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-01-11 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-08-24 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-08-05 | | Won |
| 1134 | 970 | 72% | 2017-04-08 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2015-09-25 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2015-07-12 | | Won |
| 983 | 1233 | 19% | 2014-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1298 | 939 | 89% | 2013-09-16 | | Won |
| 1108 | 975 | 68% | 2013-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2013-05-12 | | Won |
| 1076 | 974 | 64% | 2013-04-06 | | Won |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-07-23 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2012-07-21 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1031 | 64% | 2011-07-11 | | Won |
| 1149 | 984 | 72% | 2011-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1131 | 37% | 2010-10-15 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-10-10 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2010-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-07-04 | | Won |
| 968 | 1028 | 41% | 2010-07-03 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1209 | 24% | 2010-06-19 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2010-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1144 | 1076 | 60% | 2010-04-23 | | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-02-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1038 has a 52.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).