ASL Scenario Archive

Far From Home

Games with no balance used/recorded: 166 (41 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (Nationalist): 79

Defender wins (Republican): 87

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1061	1061	50%	2025-09-05	Won
1093	1093	50%	2022-11-02	Won
949	741	77%	2022-07-27	Won
1196	1063	68%	2022-05-12	Won
1145	741	91%	2022-03-15	Lost
1219	938	83%	2021-05-15	Won
1074	1088	48%	2020-12-28	Won
1026	1035	49%	2020-11-17	Won
872	1203	13%	2020-07-12	Lost
1049	1005	56%	2020-01-21	Won
893	961	40%	2020-01-18	Lost
982	1057	39%	2019-07-16	Lost
976	976	50%	2019-04-03	Lost
1047	1226	26%	2019-01-19	Won
1226	1047	74%	2019-01-11	Won
1226	1137	63%	2018-08-24	Won
1055	1061	49%	2018-08-05	Won
1203	960	80%	2017-04-08	Won
1133	1115	53%	2015-09-25	Won
1153	1067	62%	2015-07-12	Won
1009	1228	22%	2014-09-03	Lost
1256	938	86%	2013-09-16	Won
1096	975	67%	2013-06-23	Won
1132	1117	52%	2013-05-12	Won
1028	1014	52%	2013-04-06	Won
881	962	39%	2012-08-05	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2012-07-23	Won
1022	1004	53%	2012-07-21	Won
1065	1036	54%	2011-07-11	Won
1099	984	66%	2011-07-01	Lost
1110	961	70%	2010-12-01	Lost
998	1145	30%	2010-10-15	Won
1065	1046	53%	2010-10-10	Won
1051	930	67%	2010-09-19	Lost
1019	1051	45%	2010-07-30	Lost
1099	1037	59%	2010-07-04	Won
968	1029	41%	2010-07-03	Won
1123	1208	38%	2010-06-19	Lost
1041	1075	45%	2010-06-16	Lost
1147	1028	66%	2010-04-23	Won
985	1019	45%	2010-02-01	Lost

Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1035.4 has a 54.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).