ASL Scenario Archive

Far From Home

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (Nationalist): 25

Defender wins (Republican): 14

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1130	1130	50%	2022-11-02	Won
955	1011	42%	2022-07-27	Won
1152	994	71%	2022-05-12	Won
1181	1011	73%	2022-03-15	Lost
1216	932	84%	2021-05-15	Won
1007	1007	50%	2020-12-28	Won
1054	1053	50%	2020-11-17	Won
901	1109	23%	2020-07-12	Lost
1037	1005	55%	2020-01-21	Won
880	959	39%	2020-01-18	Lost
981	1057	39%	2019-07-16	Lost
969	969	50%	2019-04-03	Lost
944	1223	17%	2019-01-19	Won
1223	944	83%	2019-01-11	Won
1223	1184	56%	2018-08-24	Won
1055	1160	35%	2018-08-05	Won
1109	963	70%	2017-04-08	Won
1133	1077	58%	2015-09-25	Won
1143	1067	61%	2015-07-12	Won
1010	1228	22%	2014-09-03	Lost
1190	938	81%	2013-09-16	Won
1094	975	66%	2013-06-23	Won
1133	1099	55%	2013-05-12	Won
1058	1009	57%	2013-04-06	Won
911	924	48%	2012-08-05	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2012-07-23	Won
1022	1004	53%	2012-07-21	Won
1022	1037	48%	2011-07-11	Won
1110	984	67%	2011-07-01	Lost
1110	961	70%	2010-12-01	Lost
985	1181	24%	2010-10-15	Won
1087	1018	60%	2010-09-19	Lost
1020	1087	40%	2010-07-30	Lost
1096	1050	57%	2010-07-04	Won
1051	1040	52%	2010-07-03	Won
1047	1218	27%	2010-06-19	Lost
1101	1056	56%	2010-06-16	Lost
1149	1058	63%	2010-04-23	Won
984	1017	45%	2010-02-01	Lost

Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1046.8 has a 52.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).