Far From Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (49 on the archive and 128 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 88
Defender wins (Republican): 89
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1029 | 72% | 2026-06-30 | Won |
| 1081 | 1151 | 40% | 2026-06-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2026-06-27 | Won |
| 970 | 933 | 55% | 2026-05-20 | Won |
| 989 | 698 | 84% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 780 | 1065 | 16% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | Won |
| 948 | 999 | 43% | 2022-07-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 1065 | 51% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1221 | 1029 | 75% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 937 | 83% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | Won |
| 916 | 1090 | 27% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-01-21 | Won |
| 992 | 963 | 54% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 976 | 1226 | 19% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 976 | 81% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-08-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 1117 | 42% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 1090 | 970 | 67% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1029 | 65% | 2015-09-25 | Won |
| 1155 | 1070 | 62% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 999 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-09-03 | Lost |
| 1182 | 939 | 80% | 2013-09-16 | Won |
| 1107 | 975 | 68% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1132 | 1127 | 51% | 2013-05-12 | Won |
| 1077 | 999 | 61% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-08-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-23 | Won |
| 1022 | 1004 | 53% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
| 1146 | 1031 | 66% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 984 | 72% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2010-12-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2010-10-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1043 | 55% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 930 | 71% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1084 | 40% | 2010-07-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1038 | 59% | 2010-07-04 | Won |
| 968 | 1028 | 41% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2010-06-19 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-06-16 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1077 | 60% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
| 985 | 1018 | 45% | 2010-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1047.3 has a 53.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).