The Generalissimo's Own
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 157 (33 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 69
Defender wins (Japanese): 84
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1202 | 1060 | 69% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
1068 | 1133 | 41% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-10-28 | Lost |
1124 | 1113 | 52% | 2023-10-17 | Won |
1105 | 1123 | 47% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
944 | 1092 | 30% | 2022-08-26 | Tied |
1096 | 1086 | 51% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
1154 | 1075 | 61% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
749 | 1075 | 13% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
1094 | 1057 | 55% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
991 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-09-29 | Lost |
977 | 1060 | 38% | 2019-11-16 | Lost |
1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2018-08-30 | Won |
1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2017-09-27 | Tied |
1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2017-09-10 | Tied |
960 | 1193 | 21% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
877 | 1092 | 22% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2015-12-14 | Tied |
979 | 1038 | 42% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
1313 | 1113 | 76% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
704 | 1148 | 7% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
1144 | 1060 | 62% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
1031 | 1092 | 41% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
870 | 942 | 40% | 2012-06-03 | Lost |
968 | 928 | 56% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
994 | 1189 | 25% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2010-09-10 | Won |
1099 | 960 | 69% | 2010-07-17 | Lost |
1112 | 1057 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
1118 | 1079 | 56% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1067.5 has a 47.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).