The Generalissimo's Own
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (36 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 77
Defender wins (Japanese): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1117 | 62% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1041 | 60% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 973 | 57% | 2023-10-28 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1113 | 46% | 2023-10-17 | Won |
| 1173 | 1126 | 57% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2022-08-26 | Tied |
| 1100 | 1072 | 54% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1024 | 67% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 756 | 1024 | 18% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1027 | 59% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-09-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2019-11-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2018-08-30 | Won |
| 1118 | 980 | 69% | 2017-09-27 | Tied |
| 1118 | 1072 | 57% | 2017-09-10 | Tied |
| 969 | 1058 | 37% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1002 | 62% | 2015-12-14 | Tied |
| 980 | 1038 | 42% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
| 1253 | 1118 | 69% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1117 | 54% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 1068 | 875 | 75% | 2013-10-31 | Won |
| 875 | 1068 | 25% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1032 | 980 | 57% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 942 | 40% | 2012-06-03 | Lost |
| 967 | 927 | 56% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1229 | 28% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 917 | 70% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2010-09-10 | Won |
| 1034 | 969 | 59% | 2010-07-17 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1027 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1032 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1035.6 has a 51.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).