Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
985 | 1087 | 36% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
1327 | 1009 | 86% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
1049 | 1144 | 37% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
1144 | 1049 | 63% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
1066 | 1095 | 46% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
1105 | 934 | 73% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
1227 | 1007 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
701 | 1227 | 5% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
1092 | 1227 | 31% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1075.6 vs 1069.9 has a 50.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).