Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1029 | 42% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1162 | 1074 | 62% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1085 | 1190 | 35% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1162 | 1113 | 57% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1113 | 1162 | 43% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1340 | 18% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1164 | 1117 | 57% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 882 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 1183 | 37% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1139 | 1131 | 51% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1008 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 693 | 1228 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 998 | 1083 | 38% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1169 | 32% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1108.2 has a 45.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).