The Revenge of the Greys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (45 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 78
Defender wins (German): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2023-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1198 | 977 | 78% | 2023-06-25 | | Won |
| 996 | 1078 | 38% | 2023-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2023-06-18 | | Won |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2022-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2021-10-30 | | Won |
| 977 | 1138 | 28% | 2020-09-22 | | Won |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2020-03-21 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1138 | 32% | 2020-01-03 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2019-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2019-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 954 | 82% | 2018-10-29 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1126 | 34% | 2018-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-12-28 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-10-27 | | Won |
| 1258 | 1000 | 82% | 2017-09-02 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2017-06-28 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2016-05-26 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2016-05-25 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-08-02 | | Won |
| 1071 | 891 | 74% | 2013-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-07-21 | | Won |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2012-06-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1012 | 938 | 60% | 2012-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2011-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1097 | 56% | 2011-11-13 | | Won |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2011-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2011-08-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2011-07-30 | | Won |
| 1037 | 976 | 59% | 2011-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2011-05-02 | | Lost |
| 985 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-12-01 | | Won |
| 972 | 896 | 61% | 2010-11-01 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2010-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2010-09-01 | | Won |
| 695 | 1090 | 9% | 2010-08-21 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1116 | 41% | 2008-11-01 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1013 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1027.1 vs 1029.1 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).