The Revenge of the Greys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 125 (36 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 71
Defender wins (German): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
994 | 1058 | 41% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
1216 | 1168 | 57% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
929 | 1159 | 21% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
983 | 1131 | 30% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
1009 | 983 | 54% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
977 | 1026 | 43% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
1009 | 1131 | 33% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
1284 | 970 | 86% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
1027 | 987 | 56% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-12-28 | Won |
1016 | 981 | 55% | 2017-10-27 | Won |
1175 | 1139 | 55% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
997 | 1110 | 34% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
1045 | 974 | 60% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
905 | 1284 | 10% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
1008 | 933 | 61% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
1068 | 887 | 74% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
988 | 991 | 50% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
1095 | 1015 | 61% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
1095 | 838 | 81% | 2011-11-03 | Won |
1167 | 1116 | 57% | 2011-08-09 | Won |
1169 | 1327 | 29% | 2011-07-30 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
988 | 914 | 60% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
1039 | 1093 | 42% | 2010-12-01 | Won |
1005 | 1115 | 35% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
701 | 1108 | 9% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-14 | Lost |
1083 | 1091 | 49% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1029.4 vs 1059.9 has a 45.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).