After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1213 | 56% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 990 | 1162 | 27% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1136 | 54% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1058 | 72% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1213 | 51% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 1010 | 32% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1313 | 19% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 1054 | 40% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1160 | 1067 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1037 | 66% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1091.4 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).