After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (17 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2026-02-17 | | Won |
| 1098 | 941 | 71% | 2022-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1275 | 1159 | 66% | 2020-05-31 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2017-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1097 | 54% | 2017-10-19 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2017-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1060 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1159 | 58% | 2017-03-31 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1055 | 43% | 2015-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1056 | 63% | 2011-02-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1064.5 has a 49.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).