After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (17 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1077 | 45% | 2026-02-17 | Won |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1076 | 76% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1097 | 54% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1059 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 1069 | 25% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1420 | 1239 | 74% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1055 | 39% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1069 | 60% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1161 | 1071 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1077 | 61% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1096.9 vs 1069.1 has a 54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).