After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (16 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 962 | 67% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1205 | 50% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1004 | 1136 | 32% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1109 | 54% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 929 | 1195 | 18% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1058 | 72% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1205 | 52% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 877 | 865 | 52% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1302 | 20% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1054 | 44% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1195 | 865 | 87% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1159 | 1066 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1024 | 69% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 1065.6 has a 52.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).