After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (16 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1241 | 48% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1141 | 30% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1109 | 55% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1058 | 72% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1241 | 47% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 877 | 748 | 68% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1310 | 19% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 973 | 1054 | 39% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 1066 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1041 | 65% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1060.9 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).