After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (17 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2026-02-17 | | Won |
| 1093 | 949 | 70% | 2022-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1275 | 1149 | 67% | 2020-05-31 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | | Won |
| 957 | 1121 | 28% | 2017-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1097 | 53% | 2017-10-19 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2017-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1060 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1149 | 60% | 2017-03-31 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 1055 | 58% | 2015-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1032 | 65% | 2011-02-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1063.4 has a 50.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).