After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1184 | 63% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 980 | 1101 | 33% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1096 | 51% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1059 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1184 | 55% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 878 | 991 | 34% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1420 | 1252 | 72% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 953 | 1054 | 36% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1161 | 1071 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1065 | 62% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1093.9 vs 1072.6 has a 53.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).