The Lost Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Canadian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1263 | 45% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1026 | 47% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1235 | 37% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1235 | 37% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 826 | 81% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1121 | 952 | 73% | 2018-06-12 | Won |
| 983 | 994 | 48% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2014-08-08 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 938 | 1028 | 37% | 2011-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1051.4 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).