The Lost Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Canadian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1229 | 1282 | 42% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1232 | 37% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 1232 | 37% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
| 1102 | 826 | 83% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 980 | 65% | 2018-06-12 | Won |
| 1073 | 1103 | 46% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2014-08-08 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 938 | 1028 | 37% | 2011-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.6 vs 1074.6 has a 50% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).