Bottcher's Corner
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (7 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (Japanese): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 963 | 49% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1115 | 52% | 2025-05-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 1036 | 52% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 919 | 806 | 66% | 2012-06-24 | Won |
| 1036 | 968 | 60% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1062 | 47% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1149 | 50% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1014.1 has a 53.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).