Bottcher's Corner
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (9 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 928 | 58% | 2026-03-20 | Won |
| 991 | 964 | 54% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1125 | 57% | 2025-05-18 | Won |
| 1055 | 1031 | 53% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 968 | 786 | 74% | 2012-06-24 | Won |
| 1264 | 1119 | 70% | 2010-12-31 | Won |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1073 | 51% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1147 | 49% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1076.1 vs 1015.8 has a 58.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).