Scorpions in a Bottle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1115 | 51% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 993 | 1416 | 8% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1089 | 881 | 77% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
| 1062 | 1020 | 56% | 2011-05-23 | Won |
| 1089 | 1247 | 29% | 2010-10-17 | Lost |
| 1141 | 985 | 71% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1082.8 vs 1110.7 has a 46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).