Scorpions in a Bottle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1129 | 1106 | 53% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1400 | 9% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1018 | 56% | 2011-05-23 | Won |
| 1179 | 985 | 75% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1090.8 vs 1127.3 has a 44.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).