An Unfriendly Welcome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (9 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1013 | 999 | 52% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1214 | 981 | 79% | 2017-01-17 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1024 | 57% | 2013-12-14 | Won |
| 1072 | 1024 | 57% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2011-12-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 1002 | 68% | 2011-09-06 | Won |
| 697 | 1037 | 12% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.7 vs 1030.8 has a 52.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).