An Unfriendly Welcome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (10 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1056 | 999 | 58% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1339 | 1042 | 85% | 2017-01-17 | Lost |
| 1070 | 978 | 63% | 2013-12-14 | Won |
| 1070 | 978 | 63% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 1069 | 848 | 78% | 2013-01-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 877 | 67% | 2011-12-01 | Won |
| 928 | 1078 | 30% | 2011-09-06 | Won |
| 697 | 1043 | 12% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
| 1135 | 841 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 976.4 has a 59.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).