Dutch Courage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Dutch): 30
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1176 | 52% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 952 | 1114 | 28% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1170 | 55% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1123 | 34% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 1207 | 24% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
| 904 | 1015 | 35% | 2023-03-16 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1218 | 33% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2019-05-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-05-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 1001 | 71% | 2014-06-06 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2011-01-06 | Won |
| 1168 | 1274 | 35% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1214 | 30% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
| 951 | 1086 | 31% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1114.1 has a 42.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).