Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2025-06-23 | Won |
| 1032 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1012 | 66% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 913 | 1015 | 36% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 1075 | 37% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1200 | 914 | 84% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 940 | 993 | 42% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1218 | 20% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1064 | 43% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1117 | 35% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1072 | 786 | 84% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1045 | 60% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 864 | 71% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 1122 | 43% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1344 | 1148 | 76% | 2012-03-02 | Lost |
| 917 | 1019 | 36% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1117 | 53% | 2011-11-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1073 | 45% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1034 | 71% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 884 | 869 | 52% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1430 | 1018 | 91% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1140 | 28% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 877 | 74% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1185 | 1232 | 43% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1159 | 70% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1040 | 46% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1165 | 35% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1050.2 has a 51.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).