Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2025-06-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 1008 | 55% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 900 | 1011 | 35% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 962 | 53% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 940 | 81% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 939 | 1046 | 35% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1181 | 29% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 806 | 84% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1079 | 47% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1020 | 888 | 68% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1158 | 34% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 917 | 1036 | 34% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1115 | 55% | 2011-11-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1044 | 60% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1034 | 67% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 870 | 68% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1413 | 993 | 92% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 979 | 1152 | 27% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1329 | 31% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1115 | 68% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 964 | 1118 | 29% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1057.6 has a 48.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).