Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 140 (36 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 76
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2025-06-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1007 | 56% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1040 | 49% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1118 | 805 | 86% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 1075 | 37% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1187 | 919 | 82% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 938 | 1050 | 34% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1218 | 20% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1183 | 30% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1055 | 45% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 794 | 84% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1055 | 1039 | 52% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1020 | 889 | 68% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 1064 | 53% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 917 | 1002 | 38% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1244 | 22% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1117 | 55% | 2011-11-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 1084 | 47% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1034 | 65% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 885 | 870 | 52% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1007 | 91% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1152 | 27% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1117 | 40% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1185 | 1333 | 30% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1163 | 63% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 964 | 1060 | 37% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1236 | 25% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1063.3 has a 47.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).