First Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (17 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 32
Defender wins (Japanese): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
898 | 986 | 38% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
1023 | 1028 | 49% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
881 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-11-07 | Won |
1266 | 994 | 83% | 2020-07-01 | Lost |
1113 | 1096 | 52% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
935 | 986 | 43% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
1133 | 1063 | 60% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
1137 | 973 | 72% | 2014-11-22 | Won |
989 | 887 | 64% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
869 | 879 | 49% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
989 | 887 | 64% | 2014-01-15 | Won |
1108 | 1071 | 55% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
1089 | 1063 | 54% | 2013-08-25 | Won |
1015 | 1125 | 35% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2011-08-25 | Won |
1135 | 952 | 74% | 2011-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1011.5 has a 55.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).