First Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2025-12-13 | Won |
| 867 | 997 | 32% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1011 | 1020 | 49% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2023-11-07 | Won |
| 1243 | 958 | 84% | 2020-07-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1081 | 63% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 930 | 987 | 42% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 1054 | 62% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 976 | 1249 | 17% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2014-11-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 891 | 77% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 870 | 879 | 49% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 891 | 77% | 2014-01-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1072 | 55% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 1054 | 49% | 2013-08-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1125 | 35% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2011-08-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 1196 | 42% | 2011-07-01 | Won |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2011-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1031.6 has a 52.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).