Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (20 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1077 | 47% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1202 | 946 | 81% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 1021 | 1124 | 36% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1184 | 780 | 91% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1283 | 1051 | 79% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1045 | 77% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1038 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1176 | 37% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 958 | 917 | 56% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 980 | 1088 | 35% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1059 | 987 | 60% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 958 | 55% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 994 | 40% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1073 | 1098 | 46% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1235 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 917 | 1065 | 30% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1035.3 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).