Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (21 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 952 | 72% | 2026-05-03 | Won |
| 1054 | 1076 | 47% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1194 | 946 | 81% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 1150 | 1145 | 51% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1057 | 780 | 83% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1052 | 77% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1077 | 68% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 880 | 1038 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1226 | 31% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 982 | 1147 | 28% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 985 | 917 | 60% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 966 | 1117 | 30% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 985 | 51% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 972 | 43% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1021 | 1099 | 39% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 918 | 1097 | 26% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1039.1 has a 51.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).