Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (16 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1167 | 944 | 78% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
979 | 1065 | 38% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
1307 | 1058 | 81% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
911 | 1036 | 33% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
1080 | 1197 | 34% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
994 | 917 | 61% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
1050 | 1027 | 53% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
989 | 994 | 49% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
920 | 1012 | 37% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
982 | 937 | 56% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
941 | 1083 | 31% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1012.3 vs 1031.4 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).