Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (19 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 52
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1156 | 946 | 77% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 996 | 1171 | 27% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1185 | 780 | 91% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1340 | 1037 | 85% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1035 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1128 | 43% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1020 | 917 | 64% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 980 | 1110 | 32% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1059 | 977 | 62% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 994 | 1020 | 46% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 984 | 41% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1073 | 1098 | 46% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 1206 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 916 | 1010 | 37% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1030.8 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).