Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (16 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (American): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1022 | 70% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1042 | 65% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 925 | 1022 | 36% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 823 | 937 | 34% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 907 | 67% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 1193 | 53% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1216 | 1055 | 72% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1139 | 1168 | 46% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1100 | 42% | 2011-02-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1064.1 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).