Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (18 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1132 | 60% | 2024-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1073 | 68% | 2024-06-22 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-10-22 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1132 | 22% | 2021-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2021-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 981 | 60% | 2021-05-10 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2018-04-25 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1150 | 60% | 2018-04-25 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1163 | 46% | 2015-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2013-12-27 | | Won |
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2013-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2012-06-28 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2011-08-27 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-08-15 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-02-22 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1175 | 29% | 2010-11-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1064.2 has a 51.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).