Circle of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (10 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 40
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2025-01-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 793 | 80% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-07-05 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1219 | 45% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 985 | 1058 | 40% | 2012-11-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 928 | 62% | 2012-03-25 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2011-07-08 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2011-07-04 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1036.1 has a 48.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).