First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 5
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 998 | 64% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1226 | 34% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1065 | 1098 | 45% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1276 | 26% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1252 | 39% | 2011-08-28 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1026 | 79% | 2011-05-19 | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1113.2 vs 1114.6 has a 49.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).