First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 5
Defender wins (British): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 994 | 57% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1038 | 974 | 59% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1133 | 51% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 1223 | 35% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1228 | 32% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1316 | 31% | 2011-08-28 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1026 | 84% | 2011-05-19 | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1117.2 vs 1110.1 has a 51.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).