First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 5
Defender wins (British): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1031 | 58% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 966 | 850 | 66% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1022 | 991 | 54% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1128 | 52% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 1223 | 35% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1043 | 1022 | 53% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1100 | 1196 | 37% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1296 | 33% | 2011-08-28 | Lost |
| 1296 | 1026 | 83% | 2011-05-19 | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1113.6 vs 1092.5 has a 53.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).