First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 13
Defender wins (British): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1084 | 1026 | 58% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
1058 | 994 | 59% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
1007 | 1033 | 46% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
1172 | 1158 | 52% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
1111 | 1111 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
1073 | 1225 | 29% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
1137 | 1007 | 68% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
1105 | 1150 | 44% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
1173 | 1292 | 34% | 2011-08-28 | Lost |
1292 | 1026 | 82% | 2011-05-19 | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1130.6 vs 1108.5 has a 53.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).