Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1045 | 57% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1138 | 70% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1041 | 58% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1115 | 45% | 2017-10-13 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1098 | 37% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1057 | 45% | 2015-03-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1071 | 967 | 65% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1105 | 37% | 2011-06-08 | Won |
| 1255 | 1068 | 75% | 2011-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1091.2 vs 1069.4 has a 53.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).