Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1133 | 45% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1112 | 45% | 2017-10-13 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1059 | 45% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1054 | 53% | 2015-03-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1066 | 965 | 64% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1073 | 41% | 2011-06-08 | Won |
| 1188 | 994 | 75% | 2011-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1056.2 has a 51.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).