Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (7 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1022 | 55% | 2017-10-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1003 | 57% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1010 | 68% | 2015-03-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1069 | 965 | 65% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1084 | 45% | 2011-06-08 | Won |
| 931 | 924 | 51% | 2011-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1039.9 vs 1009.7 has a 54.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).