Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1104 | 1036 | 60% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1064 | 55% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1114 | 44% | 2017-10-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1055 | 50% | 2015-03-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1067 | 965 | 64% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1044 | 45% | 2011-06-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2011-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1043.6 has a 52.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).