Block at Ville-Sur-Illon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (10 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Free French): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 994 | 55% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 985 | 851 | 68% | 2023-05-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 1005 | 69% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 1155 | 1038 | 66% | 2015-03-10 | Won |
| 965 | 1126 | 28% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 1150 | 1239 | 37% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2011-05-19 | Won |
| 1342 | 1130 | 77% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1048 | 84% | 2002-01-19 | Won |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2001-12-15 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1128 vs 1041.8 has a 62.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).