Block at Ville-Sur-Illon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (10 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Free French): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-04-05 | | Won |
| 985 | 850 | 69% | 2023-05-09 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1005 | 69% | 2018-11-01 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1038 | 66% | 2015-03-10 | | Won |
| 964 | 1126 | 28% | 2014-06-11 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1219 | 40% | 2014-06-11 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2011-05-19 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1130 | 77% | 2011-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1048 | 85% | 2002-01-19 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-12-15 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1129.1 vs 1041.6 has a 62.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).