The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1115 | 56% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1094 | 44% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
| 946 | 1052 | 35% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1064 | 62% | 2011-11-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1329 | 22% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1163 | 44% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1044 | 65% | 2011-09-25 | Won |
| 1034 | 1132 | 36% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
| 1182 | 994 | 75% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 1146 | 26% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1152 | 41% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1076.6 vs 1090.9 has a 47.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).