The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (10 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1112 | 1142 | 46% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
1087 | 1183 | 37% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
944 | 1087 | 31% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
1112 | 1307 | 25% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
965 | 1197 | 21% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1025.6 vs 1121.2 has a 36.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).