The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1161 | 48% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1115 | 41% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1023 | 976 | 57% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 918 | 58% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
| 945 | 1050 | 35% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1062 | 63% | 2011-11-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1302 | 25% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
| 1160 | 983 | 73% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 1158 | 25% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1089.2 has a 46.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).