Cat's Cradle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (11 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1315 | 1000 | 86% | 2022-01-19 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-09-01 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-07-17 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-07-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2016-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2015-11-01 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-07-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2012-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 945 | 91% | 2011-06-23 | | Won |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2011-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1031 | 73% | 2011-05-15 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1142.5 vs 1007 has a 68.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).