Cat's Cradle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1307 | 1261 | 57% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 1139 | 1276 | 31% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-08 | Won |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 991 | 56% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2012-03-30 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2011-05-16 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1066 | 74% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1116 vs 1073.5 has a 56.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).