Cat's Cradle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1306 | 1260 | 57% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 1123 | 1276 | 29% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1118 | 969 | 70% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 975 | 58% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2012-03-30 | Lost |
| 1343 | 946 | 91% | 2011-06-23 | Won |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2011-05-16 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1128.3 vs 1058.8 has a 59.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).