Where the Winter Lingers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 924 | 61% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2022-03-13 | Won |
| 925 | 959 | 45% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 1097 | 1018 | 61% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1141 | 1043 | 64% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 925 | 982 | 42% | 2021-11-02 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1105 | 60% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-02-16 | Tied |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1032 | 55% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-02-13 | Lost |
| 1007 | 984 | 53% | 2011-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.4 vs 1041.6 has a 51.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).