Converging Assaults
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (15 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 22
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 925 | 66% | 2021-12-21 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-12-14 | | Won |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2021-12-07 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-03-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2019-04-02 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-07-13 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-05-06 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-02-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2017-01-29 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2014-11-24 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-11-15 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2013-08-24 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-04-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2012-01-28 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2011-08-25 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 987.7 has a 62.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).