Shopino Struggle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1109 | 62% | 2019-01-16 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1109 | 62% | 2014-08-09 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2013-05-27 | Lost |
| 890 | 894 | 49% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1051 | 44% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1075 | 889 | 74% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
| 1192 | 1109 | 62% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 1020 | 1063 | 44% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1051 | 51% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1075 | 58% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 979 | 1050 | 40% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 840 | 62% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 922 | 1152 | 21% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-07-20 | Lost |
| 1141 | 990 | 70% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1048 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).