Wasp Sting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Canadian): 9
Defender wins (German): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 884 | 60% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1005 | 57% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1056 | 62% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1038 | 59% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1086 | 53% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1039 | 960 | 61% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1175 | 47% | 2013-11-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2013-10-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1152 | 55% | 2013-07-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1065 | 27% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 963 | 1009 | 43% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 1049 | 960 | 63% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1148 | 59% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1051 | 55% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1068.1 vs 1059.1 has a 51.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).