Wasp Sting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (14 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 26
Defender wins (German): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 1015 | 45% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
1045 | 1015 | 54% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
950 | 1284 | 13% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
1089 | 1003 | 62% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2013-10-16 | Won |
887 | 1008 | 33% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
1138 | 1008 | 68% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
963 | 1012 | 43% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
1079 | 959 | 67% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
1327 | 1058 | 82% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
1082 | 1087 | 49% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
1093 | 865 | 79% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1044.1 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).