From Matilda with Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2023-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2023-06-05 | D | Lost |
| 992 | 1161 | 27% | 2023-05-01 | | Won |
| 1027 | 960 | 60% | 2022-01-22 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1059 | 40% | 2021-02-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1010 | 49% | 2020-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-01-27 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2016-09-29 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1004.3 vs 1056.6 has a 42.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).