The Battle in the Tunnel and Organ Gully
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (4 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 1060 | 30% | 2018-12-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 981 | 64% | 2018-01-04 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1133 | 37% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1263 | 25% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1109.3 has a 38.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).