Raiders Along the Wall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (22 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2026-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1290 | 16% | 2026-02-03 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-03-09 | A | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2021-06-04 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2020-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-08-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1138 | 32% | 2019-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-10 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1009 | 68% | 2016-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2016-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1138 | 32% | 2016-05-10 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2016-05-10 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1138 | 32% | 2016-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2016-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2013-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2013-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2012-08-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1052.2 has a 47.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).