Raiders Along the Wall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1033 | 41% | 2025-03-09 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1172 | 31% | 2021-06-04 | Lost |
| 1013 | 984 | 54% | 2020-09-25 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1116 | 66% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 967 | 1098 | 32% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1033 | 58% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1130 | 33% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1033 | 47% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1033 | 47% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
| 1130 | 1009 | 67% | 2016-05-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2016-05-23 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1130 | 33% | 2016-05-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2016-05-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1130 | 33% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1033 | 977 | 58% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-17 | Won |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1061.1 has a 49.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).