Operation Varsity Series #1: Thunder From Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American & British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2025-10-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1071 | 921 | 70% | 2013-09-16 | Won |
| 1071 | 1098 | 46% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1124 | 39% | 2011-11-04 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2011-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1082.2 vs 1058.7 has a 53.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).