Operation Varsity Series #1: Thunder From Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American & British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2025-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-11-15 | | Won |
| 1071 | 921 | 70% | 2013-09-16 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1099 | 46% | 2013-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1031 | 72% | 2011-10-10 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1080.2 vs 999.2 has a 61.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).