Operation Varsity Series #1: Thunder From Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American & British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 855 | 953 | 36% | 2025-10-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1067 | 920 | 70% | 2013-09-16 | Won |
| 1067 | 1099 | 45% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1110 | 35% | 2011-11-04 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1048 | 70% | 2011-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1050.7 has a 52.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).